Projected Points Drop off
When we look at each position, in my opinion, the most important piece of data to look at is the projected point drop off. Projected points are calculated by the sites and they include standard scoring for touchdowns, yardage, receptions, etc. The Projected Points Drop-off is how fast the points threshold tumbles (for this example I used 100 point drop off). Here is how quickly the 100 point drop off was met at each position:
I took the players and sorted them by overall ranking and then grouped them in groups of 12 so that I could simulate my draft with 12 teams. I then looked at each grouping to see when positions were getting drafted and in which grouping. Here is what my analysis told me:
My analysis revealed that the highest priority position should be running back. Running backs showed the quickest 100 point drop off and that appeared in the first grouping of 12. If you miss out on a running back early in your draft, you could be in for a long season. Quarterbacks should be another position of priority. Depending on your league roster set-up, you may look to running back with your first 2 picks and then switch gears and start thinking about a quarterback. Tight ends can be picked up along the way no real hurry there. Finally, the deepest position in the draft is wide receiver. Although it is nice to grab stud, you won’t be over hamstrung if you wait until after securing players at the top priority position.
Good luck in your draft! May we all find those diamonds in the rough!